{"id":14026,"date":"2026-06-10T23:31:36","date_gmt":"2026-06-10T23:31:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=14026"},"modified":"2026-06-10T23:31:36","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T23:31:36","slug":"thanks-el-nino-even-fewer-storms-now-expected-in-below-normal-hurricane-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=14026","title":{"rendered":"Thanks, El Ni\u00f1o: Even fewer storms now expected in \u2018below normal\u2019 hurricane season"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Predictions of a calmer hurricane season than average saw a further downgrade on Wednesday, as researchers at Colorado State University lowered the number of tropical storms expected in the Atlantic from their initial April report.<\/p>\n

Read more Catastrophic Palisades fire was set out of a yearning for \u2018revenge on society\u2019, prosecutor says as arson trial begins in LA<\/a><\/p>\n

Forecasters now anticipate a \u201cbelow normal\u201d season, thanks largely to an El Ni\u00f1o emerging in the central Pacific Ocean\u00a0even stronger than expected.<\/p>\n

\u201cStrong El Ni\u00f1o conditions typically generate much higher wind shear across the tropical Atlantic, significantly reducing Atlantic hurricane activity,\u201d said Phil Klotzbach, a senior research scientist at CSU\u2019s department of atmospheric science.<\/p>\n

The latest CSU report predicts 11 named storms, including five hurricanes and two major hurricanes, a decline from its April pre-season forecast of 13 named storms and six hurricanes. However, the current report keeps the number of major hurricanes the same as the previous one.<\/p>\n

An average hurricane season, which lasts from June 1 through Nov. 30, sees 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major ones.<\/p>\n

According to the report, there is a 24% probability that at least one major hurricane will make landfall on the east coast of the United States. In an average season, that probability is 43%.<\/p>\n

There also is a 14% chance that a major hurricane will slam into the Gulf coast. That\u2019s 13 percentage points below a normal season.<\/p>\n

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The university\u2019s forecasts \u2014 released annually in April, June, July and August \u2014 are among several well-regarded reports closely studied by emergency management officials and forecasters in preparation for hurricane season.<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Last month, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration also predicted a \u201cbelow normal\u201d season, with between 8 and 14 named storms in the Atlantic basin, thanks to the strong El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

AccuWeather has also forecast a below-average season.<\/p>\n

During an El Ni\u00f1o year, the waters in the central and eastern Pacific near the equator become warmer, increasing the chances for more powerful storms in that region. In turn, it leads to sinking air and higher pressure in the Atlantic, and also stronger upper level wind shear.<\/p>\n

Sea surface temperatures in the western tropical Atlantic are currently near average but cooler than normal in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Still, CSU forecasters urge residents to be prepared, regardless of the sunny hurricane season forecast.<\/p>\n

\u201cAs with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season,\u201d Klotzbach said. \u201cThorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more FBI seizes 13 websites that officials say were used by China to target and recruit US workers<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cIt only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season,\u201d a researcher cautioned.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14025,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14026","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-national-news"],"yoast_head":"\nThanks, El Ni\u00f1o: Even fewer storms now expected in \u2018below normal\u2019 hurricane season - Silicon Valley Moving Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=14026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Thanks, El Ni\u00f1o: Even fewer storms now expected in \u2018below normal\u2019 hurricane season - 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