{"id":1954,"date":"2026-05-07T18:02:52","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T18:02:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=1954"},"modified":"2026-05-07T18:02:52","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T18:02:52","slug":"republicans-once-saw-michigan-as-ripe-for-a-takeover-but-the-mood-is-shifting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=1954","title":{"rendered":"Republicans once saw Michigan as ripe for a takeover, but the mood is shifting"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><p><strong>By JOEY CAPPELLETTI<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>DETROIT (AP) \u2014 For years, Michigan Republicans had circled 2026 as their chance to regain power in the swing state where Democrats hold all statewide offices and both U.S. Senate seats. Now, doubts are creeping in.<\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=1948\">In Gaza, some Palestinian children find respite and catharsis in breakdancing<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Surging gas prices, an unpopular war in Iran and tariffs that have hit the state\u2019s auto industry hard have all contributed to concerns about a worsening political environment for Michigan Republicans.<\/p>\n<p>The latest warning sign came Tuesday, when a Democrat won a special election by almost 20 points in a state Senate district that Kamala Harris won by less than 1 point in 2024. The previous officeholder, a Democrat, carried the seat by 6 percentage points in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTo get to this margin in that kind of a district means that Democrats and independent voters are working in tandem to send a message to the Trump administration,\u201d Michigan pollster Richard Czuba said of Tuesday\u2019s result.<\/p>\n<p>The sentiment could pose a challenge for Michigan Republicans in a midterm year when voters will decide the governor\u2019s office, control of the Legislature and a premier U.S. Senate race. The mood of voters in Michigan also matters for a national Republican Party that sees the state \u2014 which Donald Trump flipped in 2024 \u2014 as central to its coalition and a midterm map that will again hinge heavily on the industrial Midwest.<\/p>\n<div><ul><div><div><li><div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Rep. John James tour the Atomic Industries' manufacturing facility.\" class=\"wp-image-1950\" height=\"682\" src=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1bb460b3405304119dd4093feaa5c013-1024x682.webp\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1bb460b3405304119dd4093feaa5c013-1024x682.webp 1024w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1bb460b3405304119dd4093feaa5c013-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1bb460b3405304119dd4093feaa5c013-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1bb460b3405304119dd4093feaa5c013-1536x1023.webp 1536w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1bb460b3405304119dd4093feaa5c013.webp 1860w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<div>U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, right, and Rep. John James, R-Mich., second from left, tour the Atomic Industries\u2019 manufacturing facility with co-founder and head of manufacturing Lou Young, Jr., second from left, and co-founder and CEO Aaron Slodov, left, Thursday, April 9, 2026, in Warren, Mich. (AP Photo\/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)\n<\/div><\/div><\/li><li><div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Rep. John James listens to U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, not pictured.\" class=\"wp-image-1951\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/b253407d3ce0650fc3c390dd9b827fc4-1024x683.webp\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/b253407d3ce0650fc3c390dd9b827fc4-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/b253407d3ce0650fc3c390dd9b827fc4-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/b253407d3ce0650fc3c390dd9b827fc4-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/b253407d3ce0650fc3c390dd9b827fc4-1536x1024.webp 1536w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/b253407d3ce0650fc3c390dd9b827fc4.webp 1860w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<div>Rep. John James, R-Mich., listens to U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, not pictured, speak during a tour of Atomic Industries\u2019 manufacturing facility, Thursday, April 9, 2026, in Warren, Mich. (AP Photo\/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)\n<\/div><\/div><\/li><li><div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Chedrick Greene, Democratic candidate for 35th Senate District, speaks in Saginaw, Michigan.\" class=\"wp-image-1952\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/133fe546e6e876575195dccc3d96f682-1024x683.webp\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/133fe546e6e876575195dccc3d96f682-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/133fe546e6e876575195dccc3d96f682-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/133fe546e6e876575195dccc3d96f682-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/133fe546e6e876575195dccc3d96f682-1536x1025.webp 1536w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/133fe546e6e876575195dccc3d96f682.webp 1859w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<div>Chedrick Greene, Democratic candidate for 35th Senate District, speaks Tuesday, May 5, 2026 in Saginaw, Mich. (AP Photo\/Paul Sancya)\n<\/div><\/div><\/li><li><div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Chedrick Greene, Democratic candidate for 35th Senate District, takes a selfie with supporters.\" class=\"wp-image-1953\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/4266c0df72f9a7841019c63bba3640b3-1024x683.webp\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/4266c0df72f9a7841019c63bba3640b3-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/4266c0df72f9a7841019c63bba3640b3-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/4266c0df72f9a7841019c63bba3640b3-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/4266c0df72f9a7841019c63bba3640b3-1536x1025.webp 1536w, https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/4266c0df72f9a7841019c63bba3640b3.webp 1859w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<div>Chedrick Greene, Democratic candidate for 35th Senate District, takes a selfie with supporters after speaking Tuesday, May 5, 2026 in Saginaw, Mich. (AP Photo\/Paul Sancya)\n<\/div><\/div><\/li><\/div><\/div><\/ul><div><div>U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, right, and Rep. John James, R-Mich., second from left, tour the Atomic Industries\u2019 manufacturing facility with co-founder and head of manufacturing Lou Young, Jr., second from left, and co-founder and CEO Aaron Slodov, left, Thursday, April 9, 2026, in Warren, Mich. (AP Photo\/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)\n<\/div><span>Expand<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n<h4>\u2018If they don\u2019t get Iran figured out pretty quick, we\u2019re screwed\u2019<\/h4>\n<p>Nationally, Trump\u2019s approval rating on the economy fell between March and April as the Iran war sent prices higher, according to an AP-NORC poll. The April poll found that approval had eroded even among Republicans, with 62% having a positive view of the way Trump is handling the economy, down from 74% in March.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s economic approval remained low among independents, who have an outsized role in deciding elections in swing states like Michigan. About 2 in 10 independents approved of Trump\u2019s performance on the economy in the April poll, down slightly from about 3 in 10 in March. Only about one-quarter of U.S. adults approved of his handling of the cost of living.<\/p> <div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Michigan voters may be feeling the impacts more than those elsewhere in the U.S. Gas prices in Michigan are averaging around $4.80 per gallon, the 10th-highest in the nation, according to AAA, after they jumped by over 80 cents in a week.<\/p>\n<p>Jared Kaufman, 26, is among those frustrated by rising costs and the war in Iran. He voted for Democrat Chedrick Green in Tuesday\u2019s election, saying he\u2019s a teacher who doesn\u2019t make much money. The sacrifices being made \u201cfor something that is nowhere near us\u201d are unnecessary, he said.<\/p>\n<p>Tariffs have also created new anxiety in a state deeply tied to the auto industry and cross-border trade with Canada. While Trump has argued the tariffs will strengthen domestic manufacturing, suppliers and smaller manufacturers in Michigan say the uncertainty has made it harder to plan investments and expansion.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe more stability there is in the environment, the easier it is for me to make decisions to grow and expand,\u201d said John Lytle, president of Promess Inc., a manufacturer outside Detroit. \u201cThat\u2019s probably been the biggest impact it\u2019s had on us.\u201d<\/p> <div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Jason Roe, a strategist and former executive director of the Michigan GOP, conceded that the political environment isn\u2019t good right now, but argued Democrats have their own problems and that Trump still has time to bring costs down.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut if they don\u2019t get Iran figured out pretty quick, we\u2019re screwed,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<h4>A messy top of the ticket race<\/h4>\n<p>The worsening political climate is also colliding with internal divisions at the top of the GOP ticket.<\/p>\n<p>With Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer term-limited and leaving office at year\u2019s end, the governor\u2019s race was once viewed as Republicans\u2019 best pickup opportunity. Michigan has a long history of electing a governor from the opposite party once an incumbent leaves office.<\/p>\n<p>The overwhelming favorite in the GOP primary was Rep. John James, a veteran who represents a competitive House district and has been endorsed by Trump in previous elections, including two failed bids for U.S. Senate (Trump has not endorsed in this year\u2019s GOP primary). But frustration with his campaign has steadily built within the party, spilling into public view in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p>After it was announced in April that James would miss a GOP debate in an important swing county where all other major candidates were attending, a wave of Republicans criticized him.<\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=1943\">Comey seeks to cancel upcoming court appearance in North Carolina in Trump threat case<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe data is clear: if John James wins the Aug. 4, 2026, primary, Republicans will almost certainly lose the general election in November,\u201d said Chris Long, a member of the Michigan GOP\u2019s leadership team, in a social media post calling for James to drop out.<\/p>\n<p>James has said that he will take part in two debates in July.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats have their own concerns. Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson is expected to lead the Democratic field, though Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson is also running. Some in the party worry that Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan, a former Democrat now running for governor as an independent, could pull votes from their nominee.<\/p>\n<p>But James\u2019 campaign has also been complicated by the late entry of Perry Johnson, a millionaire businessman who mounted long-shot bids for governor in 2022 and president in 2024. Johnson has aggressively attacked James \u2014 and has the money to sustain it, announcing a $10 million television ad buy in February.<\/p>\n<p>Republican strategist Dennis Lennox criticized James as running \u201can awful campaign,\u201d but added that no matter who is the nominee, it will be a tough cycle.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnyone who isn\u2019t being paid to say otherwise will concede that 2026 is going to be a very difficult year for Republicans,\u201d said Lennox.<\/p>\n<p>In a statement, James spokesperson Hannah Osantowske dismissed the criticism as \u201csore losers griping,\u201d arguing that James remains the GOP frontrunner and \u201cthe only Republican beating both Democrats in November.\u201d She also dismissed Johnson\u2019s campaign.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMichiganders are not buying what he is selling,\u201d Osantowske said. \u201cThey want a trusted Trump ally, combat veteran and proven job creator. That is John James.\u201d<\/p>\n<h4>Republicans hope to break a three-decade Senate losing streak<\/h4>\n<p>The governor\u2019s race is top of the ticket in Michigan, but national Republicans are also looking to crush Democrats\u2019 chances of winning control of the Senate by flipping Michigan\u2019s open Senate seat.<\/p>\n<p>Former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers is running again on the GOP ticket, after losing in 2024 by less than 20,000 votes to freshman Sen. Elissa Slotkin.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats are in the midst of a competitive \u2014 and increasingly messy \u2014 Senate primary with three high-profile candidates vying for the party\u2019s nomination in the Aug. 4 primary.<\/p>\n<p>Still, questions linger about whether Rogers can win a race he lost even with Trump on the ballot. No Republican has won a U.S. Senate race in Michigan since 1994.<\/p>\n<p>Rogers maintains the most cash on hand of any Senate candidate, due to a non-competitive GOP primary, but was behind Democratic candidates Mallory McMorrow, a state senator, and Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a former health official, in fundraising in the first quarter of 2026. The Senate Leadership Fund, the leading super PAC for Senate Republicans, announced an initial $45 million investment in the Michigan race early in April.<\/p>\n<p>Czuba said the influx of outside money may not help Rogers if it further nationalizes the race.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf the conversation is nationalized in Michigan, we see how poorly the president\u2019s numbers look right now,\u201d said Czuba. \u201cIf undecided voters disproportionately view Donald Trump negatively, I\u2019m not sure what the path is for Mike Rogers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>Associated Press journalist Mike Householder in Bay City, Michigan, contributed to this report.<\/em><\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=1941\">Wind projects are stalled because the Pentagon isn\u2019t completing its reviews, industry group says<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Michigan Republicans once viewed 2026 as their best chance to reclaim power. Now, party officials and strategists see warning signs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1949,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-verified-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Republicans once saw Michigan as ripe for a takeover, but the mood is shifting - Silicon Valley Moving Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=1954\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Republicans once saw Michigan as ripe for a takeover, but the mood is shifting - Silicon Valley Moving Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Michigan Republicans once viewed 2026 as their best chance to reclaim power. 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