{"id":2588,"date":"2026-05-08T13:01:24","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T13:01:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=2588"},"modified":"2026-05-08T13:01:24","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T13:01:24","slug":"us-employers-added-a-surprising-115000-jobs-last-month-despite-the-economic-shock-from-iran-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/siliconvalleymovingpost.com\/?p=2588","title":{"rendered":"US employers added a surprising 115,000 jobs last month despite the economic shock from Iran war"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

By PAUL WISEMAN, AP Economics Writer<\/strong><\/p>\n

WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 America\u2019s employers a delivered a surprising 115,000 new jobs last month despite an economic shock from the Iran war.<\/p>\n

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Hiring was better than the 65,000 forecasters had expected, though it decelerated from the 185,000 jobs created in March. The unemployment rate remained at a low 4.3%.<\/p>\n

The Iran war has caused the biggest disruption of global oil supplies in history and sent average U.S. gasoline prices surging past $4.50 a gallon this week. But the conflict hasn\u2019t done much damage to the American job market so far.<\/p>\n

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP\u2019s earlier story follows below.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 The Iran war has caused the biggest disruption of global oil supplies in history and sent average U.S. gasoline prices surging past $4.50 a gallon this week.<\/p>\n

But the conflict hasn\u2019t done much damage to the American job market \u2013 at least not yet.<\/p>\n

When the Labor Department\u2019s report on April hiring and unemployment comes out Friday, it\u2019s expected to show that U.S. companies, nonprofits and government agencies together added 65,000 jobs last month, according to a survey by the data firm FactSet. That would be down from a surprisingly strong 178,000 in March.<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Ordinarily, 65,000 net new jobs a month would be unimpressive. But these are not ordinary times. Baby Boomer retirements and President Donald Trump\u2019s immigration crackdown mean that fewer people are competing for work and that the economy doesn\u2019t need to generate as many jobs as it used to.<\/p>\n

Matthew Martin of Oxford Economics says the so-called break-even point \u2014 the number of new jobs required each month to keep the unemployment rate from rising \u2014 is now near zero. The jobless rate is expected, in fact, to have remained at a low 4.3% in April, according to FactSet.<\/p>\n

After the U.S. and Israel launched their attacks Feb. 28, Iran shut down the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of the world\u2019s oil and liquefied natural gas passes. The disruption has caused a painful increase in the price of energy and led many economists to downgrade their estimates for global and U.S. economic growth.<\/p>\n

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But the fallout isn\u2019t showing up yet in the U.S. job market.<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Payroll processor ADP reported Wednesday that private employers added a solid 109,000 jobs in April. The ADP figure isn\u2019t a reliable guide to what the Labor Department will report Friday \u2013 but the pace of hiring it showed was the fastest since January 2025. And on Tuesday the Labor Department reported that a measure of gross hiring \u2013 before subtracting those who left or lost their jobs \u2013 was stronger in March than it had been in more than two years.<\/p>\n

The economy is getting a boost from big tax refund checks this spring, arising from Trump\u2019s tax cut legislation last year; the refunds allow consumers to spend more freely, giving companies an incentive to add workers in response to rising sales.<\/p>\n

The job market is showing intermittent signs of recovery after a bleak 2025. Employers last year created just 9,700 jobs a month, fewest outside a recession year since 2002. High interest rates and uncertainty over Trump\u2019s economic policies held back hiring.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s been progress this year, but it\u2019s been uneven \u2014 two strong months of job growth (160,000 new jobs in January and 178,000 in March) and one bad one (employers cut 133,000 jobs in February).<\/p>\n

U.S. hiring, though, has been dominated by one industry: Healthcare companies, catering to an aging American population, have added 360,000 jobs over the past year; other employers have combined to cut 120,000 over the 12 months that ended in March.<\/p>\n

Diane Swonk, chief economist at the KPMG accounting and consulting firm, warns that the healthcare hiring boom may not last.<\/p>\n

The Republican Congress last year allowed subsidies for health insurance under the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) to expire. Trump\u2019s tax bill slashed Medicaid spending for the poor, and his administration has imposed a $100,000 fee on H-1B visas. \u201cRural and poor urban hospitals rely most on H-1B doctors and nurses to fill open positions,\u201d Swonk wrote in a commentary Monday. \u201cThey cannot afford the new $100,000 fee for visas. Many rural hospitals have already closed.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n

Going forward, Oxford\u2019s Martin wrote in a commentary Wednesday, \u201cthe question is whether the war will reverse (hiring) momentum. Heightened uncertainty impacts the labor market with a lag, and the fiscal stimulus from higher refunds will eventually wane, particularly as gas prices remain elevated.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n

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